TREASURY SECRETARY TALKS DOWN THE DOLLAR WHICH DROPS SHARPLY -- BRITISH POUND SURGES AGAINST THE DOLLAR -- WHILE BRITISH BOND YIELD RISES TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN A YEAR -- BIG DROP IN DOLLAR PUSHES BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX NEAR A TWO-YEAR HIGH

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Aug 23, 2024Pound Rises to Strongest in Over Two Years Against the US Dollar - Bloomberg-0.1%
• Jul 30, 2026CNY USD: Yuan Rises to Highest Since Early 2023 as Dollar Drops After Fed - Bloomberg-1.2%
• Apr 13, 2023Euro Surges to Strongest in a Year as Fed-Cut Bets Batter Dollar - Bloomberg+0.3%
• Nov 25, 2024Pound Sterling rises against USD after Trump's Treasury Secretary nomination-0.3%
• Jul 20, 2017Euro surges against dollar as Draghi says QE tightening talks will start in September-0.0%

After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.

• Feb 24, 2021Fed Chair Powell's Dovish Testimony Weakens Dollar Against Pound & Commodities+0.7%
• Jan 26, 2018Dollar falls, set for biggest monthly drop in nearly 2 years+0.3%
• Jan 30, 2019US Dollar In Sharp Sell-off Vs Euro, Pound As FED Confirms Will Be 'Patient' On Future Hikes+0.2%
• Mar 3, 2023Dollar retreats, headed for biggest weekly loss since mid-January; bitcoin down-1.1%
• Sep 2, 2022Fertilizer Costs Are Surging Again Just as US Farmers Look to Buy - Bloomberg-0.6%

After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Feb 24, 2021Fed Chair Powell's Dovish Testimony Weakens Dollar Against Pound & Commodities+0.6%
• Jan 26, 2018Dollar falls, set for biggest monthly drop in nearly 2 years-0.7%
• Oct 30, 2025Dollar rises against the real, still influenced by Fed decision | Brasil 247+3.7%
• Feb 20, 2019Bangkok Post - Baht surges to 5-year high near 31+0.3%
• Jan 30, 2019US Dollar In Sharp Sell-off Vs Euro, Pound As FED Confirms Will Be 'Patient' On Future Hikes+0.1%