
Europe's high stocks of skim milk powder are weighing on global milk protein prices. Rabobank says the EU stocks could be sold within six months at a potential 30% discount.
CME Class III contracts for February to July averaged about $14 per cwt., while August to December averaged $15.60.
A possible EU skim milk powder sell-off at a deep discount would pressure global dairy protein prices and cut the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients. Forward Class III pricing already reflects this expected rebound later in the year.
After 49 past bearish trade events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -4.7% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.