
U.S. dairy processors are exporting fewer cheese and butterfat products as domestic premiums have disappeared relative to Europe and New Zealand. Cheese exports for January-August 2016 were 186,629 MT, down 17% year on year, and butterfat exports fell to 14,905 MT.
Milk powder exports are holding up better on demand from Mexico and Asia.
A global price equilibrium is cutting U.S. cheese and butterfat export volumes, leaving more product domestically and weighing on U.S. dairy prices. Buyers face a buyer's market for dairy ingredients.
After 49 past bearish trade events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -4.7% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.