
Ukraine has exported 25.89 million tonnes of grain in the 2017/18 marketing year through February 20, according to the State Fiscal Service. Wheat shipments were 12.7 million tonnes, barley 4 million, and corn 9.1 million.
Ukraine's steady export pace adds wheat, barley and corn supply to world markets during the late-season period. The volume is in line with recent years, so the price effect is limited.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.