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A Reuters poll of eight analysts expects oil demand to exceed supply by 750,000 barrels per day on average this year, reversing a previous forecast of surplus. The shortfall is expected to peak in the second quarter at around 3 million bpd, driven by the Iran war shutting Hormuz flows and removing production.
A swing from surplus to deficit tightens the crude balance and supports prices through the year. Higher energy costs raise the cost of feed production, transport and biofuel feedstocks.
tradearabia.comMar 9, 2018After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 131 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.4%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
