
The EIA forecasts WTI will average about $84.56 a barrel in April through June, a $30.91 upward revision from its February outlook. It expects Brent to average $90.56 in the second quarter, driven by Middle East fighting that has disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
A higher EIA price forecast signals sustained crude strength, which raises fuel, freight and fertilizer costs for feed buyers.
After 131 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.4%), and +2.9% over 20.
After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.