
Oil prices plunged about 5% on Thursday as US-China trade tensions dampened the demand outlook. Crude benchmarks were on course for their biggest daily and weekly falls in six months.
Weak US data and overfull US crude stockpiles added to the selloff.
Lower crude prices reduce energy costs and can weigh on biofuel margins and feed-grain demand sentiment. Escalating trade conflict also threatens agricultural export demand.
After 80 past bearish trade events, WTI moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, BRENT moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the ~5% Thursday plunge driven by US-China trade tensions hurting demand outlook, weak US data and heavy US stockpiles.
Reports a roughly 5% plunge as US-China trade tensions hit the demand outlook, with overfull US stockpiles adding pressure.
The biggest weekly drop of 2019 came from trade tensions, weak US data and overfull stockpiles, which set the downtrend that likely carried into the window.