A Reuters report says India has shelved a plan to raise its wheat import tariff to 40 per cent and will keep it at 20 per cent. Government sources expect imports to fill a domestic shortfall for a third straight year, with production estimates falling to 93-95 Mt.
Expected Indian wheat imports and low stocks support world wheat demand, which is supportive for Australian and other exporter prices.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.