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The Australian dollar fell nearly two cents against the US dollar in under a week as US bond yields spiked. The move followed US sanctions and trade policies, including actions against Russian aluminum producer Rusal, and rising oil prices linked to OPEC output caps.
Sanctions-driven metals and oil strength combined with higher US yields lifts the dollar and pressures Australian currency, with energy costs feeding into feed and freight expenses.
smh.com.auStephen BartholomeuszApr 24, 2018After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
