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Palm and soybean oil futures rose 8.5% to 10% over two sessions after USDA cut US soybean acreage estimates. Chicago soyoil reached $1,400 a tonne, and US soybean inventories as of June 1 were 17% lower than a year earlier.
Sunflower oil also rose 1.7% in sympathy.
Lower US acreage and stocks tighten supply, and processors are importing Brazilian soybeans to fill the gap. The rally lifts competing vegetable oils such as palm and sunflower.
ukragroconsult.comJul 4, 2023After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soyoil and palm oil rose 8.5-10% over two sessions after the USDA acreage cut, which directly describes the move.
Reports palm and soyoil gains of 8.5-10% over two sessions after the USDA acreage cut, confirming the substitution-linked supply-concern rally, though dated after the move.
