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The Palm Oil Monitor reports on internal EU documents concerning the Renewable Energy Directive ahead of a trilogue meeting. The Parliament backs a palm oil biofuel ban, the Commission opposes it, and the Council is divided, with a Bulgarian compromise proposal still under discussion.
The outcome of the RED talks will determine whether palm oil biodiesel demand in Europe is curtailed, a key factor for palm oil prices and vegetable oil competition.
palmoilmonitor.orgKhalil Hegarty, Pierre Bois d’EnghienMay 17, 2018After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
