
Dorab Mistry said palm oil's rally will accelerate as biofuel demand rises while output falls. He forecast benchmark futures could reach 2,700 ringgit a tonne by March, and said the market has begun rationing supplies through higher prices.
He cited Indonesia's B30 program as the main catalyst.
Biodiesel demand is pulling supply away from feed and food uses, which keeps vegetable oil prices firm. Higher palm oil costs feed through to the price of oil-based feed ingredients.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Mistry's 'red hot' rally call on Indonesian B30 biofuel demand and falling output (2,700 ringgit target) boosted bullish sentiment and demand expectations.
This is a re-publication of the Mistry rally call, with the same B30 demand and supply-tightness sentiment, so it adds little independent information.