Loading…
Extreme cold across the northern hemisphere has driven a sharp rise in heating demand while LNG supply flexibility is limited. U.S. natural gas prices reacted strongly to freeze-off risks in southern producing states, and European buyers are competing more aggressively with Asia for LNG.
Tight LNG balances and freeze-related output losses lift global gas benchmarks, and higher gas prices raise fertilizer and energy costs for feed producers. Natural gas and energy-linked feed input costs are likely to firm while the cold persists.
home.saxoOle HansenJan 22, 2026After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 30 past bullish weather events, Urea moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.6%), and +9.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
