Henry Hub futures rose above $4 per MMBtu as early winter cold and lean storage supported prices. The December contract settled 31.3 cents higher at $4.101, with stronger gains further along the winter strip.
Traders described the rally as driven by fear of low storage more than by a single clear catalyst.
Higher winter strip prices point to sustained upward pressure on natural gas costs for feed and grain processors. Weather model shifts could reverse some of the gains, so volatility is likely.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The prior-day rally above $4 on early cold and lean storage set up momentum and a fear-driven bid carrying into 2018-11-14.