The ECB said it would keep interest rates at current levels until at least summer 2019 while ending its QE program in December. The euro dropped sharply, its steepest one-day fall since the 2016 Brexit vote, and the dollar index rose to about 94.7.
Analysts see the dovish guidance as a potential driver of a longer dollar rally.
A stronger dollar on policy divergence with the Fed can lower US commodity prices in dollar terms and weigh on export demand for feed ingredients.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.