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Several banks, including Barclays, ING and Nomura, have raised forecasts for euro-dollar parity after the US election. This reverses a recent trend in which many had been lifting their outlook for the common currency.
Expectations of a weaker euro and stronger dollar shift currency flows that affect the relative competitiveness of US and European feed ingredients and import costs.
bloomberg.comNaomi Tajitsu, Anchalee WorrachateNov 12, 2024After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Banks raised parity forecasts, which reflects and likely reinforced bearish euro sentiment and positioning.
