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The euro fell to its lowest level of 2016 in December, driven mainly by the US Federal Reserve's outlook for three rate hikes in 2017. Two-year Treasury yields rose to their highest since 2009, widening the yield gap with Germany beyond 2 percentage points.
A firmer dollar driven by Fed tightening tends to pressure US commodity export prices, including grains and oilseeds, making US feed ingredients cheaper for foreign buyers only at the margin while weighing on dollar-denominated prices.
wsj.comRichard BarleyDec 22, 2016After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
