Oil industry players are voicing growing concern about price disruptions in diesel, fuel oil and crude as the IMO's 2020 low-sulfur bunker fuel rule approaches. The concern centers on possible supply tightening for compliant fuels.
Expectations of tighter low-sulfur diesel and fuel oil supply ahead of 2020 could lift diesel and crude prices, raising input costs for feed producers and freight.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.