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Crude futures rallied on May 5, 2020 as more producers announced output cuts, with NYMEX June crude settling at $24.56 and ICE July Brent at $30.97. US shale companies including Diamondback, Parsley and Centennial cut output, and majors such as ExxonMobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips had already announced cuts.
The Texas Railroad Commission declined to adopt prorationing.
Supply cuts by producers reduce crude supply and support energy prices, which firm the cost base for biofuels and feedstock inputs tied to oil.
spglobal.comJeff Mower, Robert PerkinsMay 5, 2020After 438 past bullish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, BRENT moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, DIESEL moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
May 5 crude rally on mounting output cuts lifted the energy complex, but it falls just after the 5-day window ending May 4, so it mostly confirms the rebound sentiment rather than driving it.
Crude rallied on May 5 as producers announced output cuts, raising refiners' input costs and pushing ULSD futures higher in the following days; this fits an upward 18.5% move.
Mounting US shale and major producer output cuts (reported May 5) tightened expected crude supply and supported crude and ULSD prices, plausibly contributing to the rally, though the event predates the May 14-20 window by about two weeks and is not a direct trigger.
