Crude futures rose slightly as Saudi Arabia's 1 million b/d voluntary production cut took effect on February 1, with OPEC+ compliance near 99% in January. Russia also planned to cut Urals exports due to cold weather.
Supply cuts from OPEC+ and Russia tighten crude markets, supporting energy prices that feed into ag input and freight costs.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.