Gleadell's market update says US-China trade tensions drove liquidation selling in corn and soybeans, spilling into wheat. Spring wheat ratings are strong and EU prices held steady, while Russia's ministry expects a maximum 100 million tonnes of grain and French crop estimates were talked up to about 39 million tonnes.
Trade-driven selling pressures grain futures near term, while a possible Russian shortfall and dry Western Europe provide some offsetting support.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.