U.S. Farm-Export Prices Drop Most Since 2011

After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Feb 23, 2017Ukraine exports almost 29 mln tonnes of grain since July 2016-0.2%
• Apr 3, 2020As Fears Over Rice Exports Grow, India May Continue Selling - Bloomberg+2.6%
• May 14, 2019Increasing Black Sea exports are influencing price+11.5%
• Feb 7, 2024Global: Fierce export competition fuels falling prices-3.7%
• Mar 13, 2026Grain prices surge: U.S. farmers rush to sell crops-0.2%

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• May 13, 2019What Does the US Export to China? Soybeans Lowest in Decade - Bloomberg+3.1%
• May 13, 2026China Sees Its Soy Imports Sliding Just as US Farmers Eye Deals - Bloomberg-0.3%
• Feb 3, 2023Soybean prices in Ukraine are falling against the backdrop of reduced export demand-1.0%
• Jul 25, 2018Why the EU Was Already Likely to Import More U.S. Soybeans - Bloomberg+5.3%
• Feb 1, 2017Trump trade plans, South America crops could hurt U.S. farm exports+1.8%

After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Feb 23, 2017Ukraine exports almost 29 mln tonnes of grain since July 2016+1.1%
• Jun 10, 2026Processing Journal | U.S. Ethanol Exports Fall Below 200 Million…-1.2%
• May 14, 2019Increasing Black Sea exports are influencing price+7.0%
• Dec 5, 2022China Ramps Up Corn Purchases From Brazil as US Exports Decline - Bloomberg-0.2%
• May 1, 2024Barley Market Report: Rising Prices, Export Trends, and Drought Concerns - The Barley Bin+2.6%