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USDA pegged the US national average corn yield at 178.4 bushels per acre, above the July estimate and pre-report expectations, lifting production to 14.59 billion bushels. Soybean yield and production also exceeded pre-report ranges.
DTN analysts called US corn and soybean ending stocks bearish.
A record corn yield estimate expands domestic supply and ending stocks, which pressures corn and soybean meal prices and lowers feed cost expectations.
dtnpf.comDTN StaffAug 10, 2018After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA's record corn yield and soybean yield above pre-report ranges, which DTN called bearish for stocks, added to the selling pressure.
Record corn yield and soybean production above pre-report ranges, with DTN calling stocks bearish, weighed on the whole feed complex including meal.
