Canada's dry weather may stem U.S. cattle stampede across border

After 47 past bullish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +1.5% over 20.

• May 26, 2026Market Experts Consider Mexican Cattle Imports and Border Impacts on US Cattle Supply - Oklahoma Farm Report+0.5%
• Oct 27, 2026US-Mexico Cattle Trade and Beef Markets-4.1%
• Feb 28, 2025Beef prices may rise as Canadian ranchers shrink cattle herds, fearing Trump tariffs-0.9%
• Jul 18, 2018U.S. livestock: CME cattle rise but hog futures weaken - Grainews+1.0%
• Jun 3, 2019Trade fights continue to batter U.S. live cattle, lean hog futures+3.1%

After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.

• Nov 10, 2018Why Did The Cow Cross The Border? : Planet Money : NPR-0.2%
• Aug 24, 2026Reopening US border to Mexican cattle not expected to drop beef prices | AP News-1.6%
• Sep 24, 2026As screwworm fight continues, Mexican cattle ranchers ready for border reopening - El Paso Matters-0.8%
• Apr 27, 2026In Depth: Border Closure May Accelerate Mexico Beef Expansion+0.6%
• Dec 2, 2022Weekly global protein digest: HPAI, global dairy market update, Japan-US beef trade | The Cattle Site-0.1%