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The Indonesian rupiah fell to a record low of Rp 15,000 per US dollar on October 2, the weakest since the 1998 financial crisis. Analysts attributed the drop to the US-China trade war and rising global oil prices, and Bank Indonesia has raised rates five times since May to defend the currency.
Currency weakness and higher oil prices increase Indonesia's trade deficit and import costs, which can reduce purchasing power for feed ingredients and weigh on palm oil and soybean meal demand from the region.
straitstimes.comOct 3, 2018Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
