
The ringgit hit a near two-year low on April 20, falling as much as 0.8% to its weakest since June 2020 before paring losses. Analysts cited a strong dollar, weak global growth after IMF and World Bank downgrades, China lockdowns and a sharp drop in oil prices.
Weakness in the ringgit and oil prices reflects softer global growth expectations that could reduce palm oil and vegetable oil demand, while a stronger dollar raises the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for Malaysia.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.