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An FAO animal health expert outlines what to expect as African swine fever spreads, noting that China was first hit in August 2018 and that the virus has since reached six provinces. The article warns that the disease could disrupt pork markets across East and Southeast Asia if containment fails.
China holds over half of the world's pigs, so continued ASF spread would cut pork supply and lower feed grain and meal demand. The risk of spread to other major pork producers in Asia adds to the upward pressure on pork prices.
emergence-msd-animal-health.comOct 1, 2018After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
