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China's yuan has lost more than 6 percent against the dollar this year and nearly 10 percent since March, when the first tit-for-tat US and Chinese tariffs were announced. Attention has turned to whether the central bank will defend the psychologically critical 7 per dollar level.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese buyers' dollar-priced US grain and soymeal purchases more expensive, reinforcing demand pressure on US feed commodities. Authorities defending 7 would limit that pressure.
reuters.comNov 9, 2018After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
