
Most Latin American currencies recovered after a heavy loss on Monday, with Brazil's real gaining 1.7% after a six-day losing run. The central bank offered $2 billion in liquidity line auctions, and the Mexican peso rose 0.7%.
The Monday sell-off followed doubts over the passage of Jair Bolsonaro's pension reform.
The real's rebound eases the cost of dollar-priced imports for Brazilian feed buyers, although the currency remains volatile. Brazil's currency swings feed into the export competitiveness of soy and corn.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.