
On July 21, 2020 Chicago soybean futures fell despite a 126,000-tonne USDA-reported booking by China, after USDA rated 69 percent of soybeans good to excellent versus 67 percent expected. CBOT corn fell 5.5 cents to $3.2275 on better crop conditions, while wheat rose 5.75 cents to $5.2775.
Reports also said China plans to sell state-reserve rice and wheat to feed producers facing high corn prices.
Chinese sales of reserve wheat and rice to feed producers may reduce its need for US corn, which is bearish for corn, while better US crop ratings cap soybean gains.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 141 past bearish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.4%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.