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USDA data showed wheat export sales for the week ending October 25 of 582,500 tons, up 32 percent week on week and above most pre-report expectations. Corn and soybean sales came in below analyst estimates, and corn shipments were well ahead of the projected pace.
Stronger-than-expected wheat demand supports wheat prices, while weaker corn and soybean sales are mildly bearish for those markets. Wheat is the stronger signal in the report.
brownfieldagnews.comadminNov 1, 2018After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
