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Corn and soybean futures closed lower on November 9 after the WASDE report showed higher yields and production. Corn fell below $3.45 support after failing at $3.55-3.60, and soybeans moved toward $9.75 support following a large soybean carryout figure.
Analysts expect the weakness to limit farmer selling as U.S. harvest winds down.
Failing key support levels after a bearish report signals lower prices in the near term, and reduced farmer selling could tighten nearby cash supply. Price levels may remain under pressure until a weather problem arises in South America or the U.S.
brownfieldagnews.comMark DorenkampNov 9, 2016After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
