Loading…
The November USDA report raised global wheat supplies through higher production and opening stocks, driven by revised Chinese stock data, while reducing the Australian crop to 17.5 million tonnes. Global exports were cut by 1.6 million tonnes, mainly on lower Australian shipments.
Higher global wheat stocks are mostly bearish for prices, though lower exports from Australia partly offset that effect on tradeable supply.
theland.com.auMalcolm Bartholomaeus, Bartholomaeus ConsultingNov 12, 2018After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
