Loading…
Global futures fell sharply in the week to August 30 as the market digested the Pro Farmer tour results. The tour estimated the US corn yield at 177.3 bu/ac and the soybean yield at 53 bu/ac, which is 1.4 bu/ac above USDA's August forecast.
Wheat fell most as funds liquidated more than 35% of their long positions.
A larger US corn and soybean crop plus lower Chinese import demand from the trade war weighs on feed grain and soymeal prices. Wheat losses reflect fund liquidation rather than a change in fundamentals.
grainbrokers.com.auAug 30, 2018After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
