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Rabobank's Q4 Beef Quarterly says ASF continues spreading across China, with more than 60 confirmed cases by November 19 across major pork provinces. Rabobank expects Chinese pork shortages to lift beef and other protein imports, including from New Zealand.
A China pork shortage could raise beef and poultry import demand, supporting export prices for beef and protein feedstuffs and favoring meat over pork.
scoop.co.nzFind more from Rabobank on InfoPages.Nov 28, 2018After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
