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The Brazilian real strengthened to 3.71 per USD on 11 January, up 4.9% over the month and 15.4% year on year. The move was driven by optimism over President Bolsonaro's government and its plans for fiscal and pension reform, though the article notes risks around legislative passage.
A firmer real raises the dollar cost of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal, which can support offshore feed prices while also reducing Brazilian export competitiveness.
focus-economics.comAngelaJan 11, 2019After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
