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The Brazilian real has strengthened this year, closing at R$5.1758 per dollar on February 20, the lowest since May 2024. Analysts see the dollar possibly approaching R$5 in the short term but warn elections and external volatility could push it higher in the second half.
Currency strength lowers Brazil's inflation pressure and affects the dollar-denominated export pricing of Brazilian grains and meals relevant to feed buyers.
valorinternational.globo.comSergio LamucciFeb 23, 2026After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
