
The gap between official and parallel Argentine exchange rates averaged 4% on December 10, a historic low. Economists attribute the narrowing to strong dollar supply, weaker demand and government intervention, and President Milei pledged to lift controls in 2025.
A narrow gap signals a stronger peso and reduced incentive to hoard dollars, which can slow farmer selling of soybean products and support the peso against the dollar.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.