
Argentines are rushing to buy black-market dollars as real interest rates fall below zero and fears of another sovereign debt default grow. The peso hit a record 118 per dollar in informal exchange houses on Thursday, up from 107 the previous day.
Central Bank rate cuts and expected money printing to fund social spending are adding pressure.
Peso weakness and rising inflation expectations raise Argentine feed and grain input costs in pesos and can spur farmer selling or holding of crops, affecting export availability. Currency depreciation typically makes Argentine soy products cheaper on world markets.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.