
EIA reports Brent averaged $72/bbl and WTI $65/bbl in 2018, with both ending the year lower than they started. Brent hit an annual low of $50 on December 24 and US crude output reached record levels.
The sharp late-2018 sell-off and record US output show a well-supplied market, which keeps energy input costs for feed producers under pressure to stay low.
After 56 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 41 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.0% to +1.9%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.