The EIA forecasts Brent averaging $82 per barrel in 2024 and $79 in 2025, roughly flat with 2023. It expects Brent to rise to $85 by March 2024 on OPEC+ cuts and stock draws before easing after April.
A flat outlook implies stable energy input costs for feed producers over the year. The expected Q1 rally may lift diesel and biofuel-linked vegetable oil values in the near term.
After 41 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.0% to +1.9%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 56 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.