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Cattle futures and cash markets are correcting as USDA begins reopening the Mexican border to cattle imports in stages starting July 7. An analyst estimates 600,000 to 700,000 cattle were held back in Mexico and may return as heavier feeders.
Returning Mexican feeder cattle add supply to the feeder market, which is bearish for feeder and live cattle prices and may weigh on corn and feed demand sentiment.
ruralradio.comJul 3, 2025After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
It describes the staged border reopening (from July 7) and 600-700k head potentially returning, a supply-side driver of the correction, though published two days after the move and so more confirming than causal.
It describes a futures and cash correction on the Mexican border reopening, with 600-700k held-back head potentially returning, though it is dated just after the window.
