
The rupiah fell 27 points to 14,071 per dollar on Thursday after the Fed's meeting summary showed a strong US economy and labor market. Analysts said markets expected at least one more Fed rate hike this year, and higher global crude prices also pressured the currency.
Expectations of further Fed tightening strengthen the dollar and raise dollar-denominated import costs for emerging-market feed buyers, while higher crude raises transport and energy costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.