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The euro fell on August 31 as ECB rate-hike bets were pared, after eurozone preliminary CPI came in at 5.3% against 5.1% expected. ECB speakers Schnabel and Holzmann signaled uncertainty about the peak rate, and WTI crude was up 0.9% to $82.37.
Expectations for a less aggressive ECB weaken the euro and support the dollar, which affects dollar-priced commodity trade. Crude oil's rise also feeds into biofuel and freight costs for feed markets.
investinglive.comJustin LowAug 31, 2023After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
