
Market sentiment about the likely next Fed chair, with John Taylor and Jerome Powell seen as leading candidates to replace Janet Yellen in February 2018, has strengthened the dollar and pressured emerging-market currencies including the rupiah. Bank Indonesia said it has been buying government bonds and intervening in FX markets to stabilize the rupiah.
Hawkish Fed succession expectations support the dollar and US yields, keeping pressure on Indonesian import costs and prompting central bank intervention that may limit moves.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.