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A first trade was made on the CME in a new derivatives contract settled against Platts' Singapore IMO 2020-compliant 0.5% sulfur marine fuel assessment, at $500 per tonne for December 2019 delivery. The trade was reportedly part of a spread trade.
It is seen as an early market signal of how low-sulfur bunker fuel will be priced.
The IMO 2020 sulfur cap will push shippers toward low-sulfur distillates, which should tighten diesel supply and lift diesel margins relative to residual fuel.
freightwaves.comJohn KingstonFeb 1, 2019After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
