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The EIA explains that the IMO decided in October to cut maximum marine fuel sulfur from 3.5% to 0.5% by 2020. Refiners and vessel operators will need to adjust operations, with crude price uncertainty a major factor.
The 2020 bunker sulfur cut will raise demand for low-sulfur distillates and reduce demand for residual fuel, shifting diesel prices upward relative to crude and affecting freight costs.
eia.govNov 30, 2016After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
