USDA has paid out $7.7 billion to help farmers hit by Trump's tariffs

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jun 7, 2024Will more Trump tariffs hurt or help U.S. farmers?-0.9%
• Apr 10, 2025Trump, tariffs and farmers : NPR+2.6%
• Aug 12, 2019How Trump’s tariffs finance farmer bailouts-0.7%
• Mar 6, 2019Mexican farmers urge 'mirror' tariffs on Trump's rural base-1.8%
• Apr 12, 2025White House looks at how to help farmers hurt by China tariffs : NPR-1.3%

After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Mar 29, 2018Chinese soybean tariffs would hurt U.S. soybean farmers+3.3%
• Jul 20, 2018Trump threatens tariffs on all $500 billion of Chinese imports+1.2%
• Apr 25, 2019Farmers have received $8.4 billion in China trade war aid - UPI.com-1.5%
• May 31, 20196 things to know about Trump’s Mexico tariffs | Brookings-3.5%
• Aug 23, 2019China strikes back at U.S. with new tariffs on $75 billion in goods | Reuters-0.6%

After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jan 21, 2025Trump to hold off on tariffs, report says, easing trade war fears-0.5%
• Aug 23, 2019China strikes back at U.S. with new tariffs on $75 billion in goods | Reuters+1.8%
• Apr 15, 2025Trump trade war dries up sorghum sales to China but US farmers plan to plant more-0.8%
• Dec 12, 2019Farmers receive $10.5 billion to offset trade war losses — APM Research Lab+5.5%
• Feb 4, 2020'Tough year,' says Perdue as USDA boosts trade-war payments to $14.5 billion-0.2%