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USDA's dairy outlook forecasts 2019 Class III milk at $14.70 to $15.40 per cwt, versus $14.61 in 2018. The milk cow herd fell to 9.35 million head in December, the smallest since November 2016.
Year-end cheese stocks were 5% above a year earlier, while butter stocks were 6.2% higher.
A smaller herd and a higher Class III forecast point to firmer milk prices, which can support dairy demand for feed. Heavy cheese and butter stocks limit how far prices can rise.
farmprogress.comFeb 28, 2019After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
