USDA data show total 2018 grain barge shipments on the locking Mississippi, Arkansas and Ohio rivers fell 7% to 37.98 million tons. Soybean barge movements dropped 24% on reduced China sales, wheat fell 20%, and corn rose 5%.
Weaker soybean and wheat barge volumes reflect soft export demand, while higher corn movements indicate firmer domestic and export corn flows.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.